Widespread Confusion

Friday, July 20, 2007

Not Black Enough?

Obama is polling 16 points behind Hillary among African-Americans in South Carolina.

Anonymous said...: I don't follow your connection between being Black and trailing a woman in South Carolina by a statistically minor percentage this early on. Also, I find it strange that you refer to one candidate by an informal first name and the other candidate by formal last name.; 4:58 PM
isaacjosephson said...: Nice.

First, let me state that I'm an Obama fan, and unless something changes he's got my vote.

Second, 16% off a base of 1,052 is a statistically significant difference.

Third, read what I wrote. He's trailing among Blacks. General intuition would tell you that this would not be the case. It's interesting that it is.

Fourth, public discourse about these two candidates generally favors the use of Obama's last name and Hillary's first name.

Fifth, who are you?; 6:48 PM
Shannon said...: The New York Times wrote today that Oprah Winfrey was endorsing Obama, while her life mentor, Maya Angelou, was endorsing Clinton.

Maya Angelou says in her endorsement on CLintons site (according to the NYT, I didn't go) something about empowering women in politics.

I wonder if there is a breakdown somewhere on the differences between African-American women and men voters?

Not that Oprah represents the "men" vote or anything, but it just made me think.....; 2:11 PM
Anonymous said...: new trey album.. not all that bad.

http://www.mediafire.com/?2o3ttmrft3z; 3:00 PM